RBC Capital’s Mike Abramsky, who has a Sector Perform rating on shares of Research in Motion (RIMM), and a $53.45 price target, writes that the deterioration of Nokia‘s (NOK) business, expressed in Nokia’s financial update this morning, could present opportunity for RIM.
With 16% market share in Europe, RIM “has the opportunity to replicate the success that BBM [the BlackBerry messenger software] has had in the U.K.,” where RIM has the top spot in smartphones with 24% share.
Abramsky had downgraded RIM shares from Outperform back in April.
However, Nokia’s erosion could be an omen, too, of what happens to platforms that are “in transition”:
NOK’s warning, along with RIM’s Q1 warning, shows the risks investors face from handset vendors transitioning to new platforms. Just like carriers de-committing from Nokia’s legacy Symbian platform, carriers may be reluctant to maintain significant channel inventory of upcoming BlackBerry 7 devices which could result in more moderate interim sell-through ahead of next-generation QNX-based smartphones that are expected to launch in early 2012. The difference however is that RIM’s fan base appears more loyal to its core Blackberry experience (helping upgrade cycles) vs. Nokia’s base which has defected to HTC, Samsung (SSNLF), RIM, and Apple (AAPL).
Article courtesy of Tech Trader Daily