- Straight shot down for Nokia this morning; where’s the bottom?
Shares of Nokia (NOK) are down
90 cents, or 11%, at $7.30 $1, or 12.2%, at $7.20 $1.28, or almost 16%, at $6.91 this morning after the company this morning warned the current quarter is tracking much worse than it had expected, andsaid it could no longer off a full-year forecast, citing “multiple factors” that are “negatively impacting” its business.
The “burning platform” to which CEO Stephen Elop famously referred several months ago, is in effect sinking, at least for the moment.
Nokia sees adverse “competitive dynamics and markets trends across multiple price categories, particularly in China and Europe,” the company said. Then, too, it is selling more devices at lower prices and at lower gross profit margin. The company said it is also being subjected to “pricing tactics by Nokia and certain competitors.”
Subjected to its own pricing tactics? Hoisted on its own petard, I guess.
Nokia said it expects Q2 “devices & services” revenue will be “substantially below” the prior range of €6.1 billion to €6.6 billion. Operating margin will also miss the 6% to 9% Nokia had offered. In fact, the operating margin “could be around break-even.”
Nokia removed a target for Q3 devices and services sales to be even with Q2, and to rise in Q4, saying those targets were “no longer valid.”
Nokia said it would accelerate its attempt to trim €1 billion in annual operating expenses, and said that its development of its first phone using Microsoft’s (MSFT) operating system is going well, and that the device should ship in Q4 of this year. That may be somewhat earlier than some had expected.
Update: MKM Partners analyst Tero Kuittinen this morning send a missive to re-emphasize what he’d said a little over a week ago, which is that Nokia is seeing less and less support from some carriers, and that this is leading to “rock-bottom pricing.”
“N8 sales are eroding rapidly and that some of the steeply discounted deals offered by leading carriers imply that this flagship model, launched last October, is now being phased out.”
Basically, it’s the Android invasion:
European rollouts of the Samsung Galaxy S2, Sony Ericsson Arc and HTC Desire HD seem to be proceeding notably strongly over the past two weeks. In our view, even second-tier Android launches like Sony Ericsson Play and Samsung Galaxy Fit are having better launch traction than carriers had anticipated. The Samsung Galaxy S2 seems to be matching iPhone sales at Orange and Vodafone.
Update 2: Jennifer Fritszche with Wells Fargo reports from the conference call with management this morning. She finds it interesting that the real problem Nokia is up against is Android, not Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone.
“Impact seen in both feature and smartphones – but given the fact it called out specific regions of Europe and China, NOK’s CFO indicated that more of smartphone contribution from these 2 regions,” writes Fritszche.
“CEO Stephen Elop indicated that Android players, particularly in CDMA, have been disruptive and are taking market share. While NOK did not mention any specific manufacturers, we note [Motorola Mobility (MMI)] has historically been quite strong in CDMA and has been building its presence in China.”
Update 3: Analysts are starting to adjust numbers — see the note today from Gleacher & Co. Some are warning that things will have to get worse, and that estimates are bound to go lower, before Windows-based devices help improve the outlook.
Article courtesy of Tech Trader Daily